Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAOK to win ✗40% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.97
Anderlecht vs PAOK preview and prediction
The match
Anderlecht host PAOK in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 13 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Lotto Park.
Form guide
Anderlecht's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
PAOK's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Anderlecht 0–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished PAOK 0–1 Anderlecht.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Anderlecht and 1.3 for PAOK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anderlecht 37%, draw 23%, PAOK 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Anderlecht to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Anderlecht 1–1 PAOK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anderlecht37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
PAOK40%fair 2.50 · @2.28
2.57Expected goals
1.26Anderlecht xG
1.32PAOK xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.3 – 1.3 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Anderlecht vs PAOK?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PAOK 40%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Anderlecht vs PAOK (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.