Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Vikingur Reykjavik or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.48Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.90 – our chance 54% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +113%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗54% · @3.90
Double chanceVikingur Reykjavik or draw ✓78% · @1.48
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 9.40
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Vikingur Reykjavik take on FC Thun on Thursday 13 August, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Víkingsvollur Stadium.
Form guide
Vikingur Reykjavik's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Thun's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to FC Basel 1893 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished FC Thun 3–0 Vikingur Reykjavik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Vikingur Reykjavik and 1.5 for FC Thun. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vikingur Reykjavik 24%, draw 54%, FC Thun 22%.
Safer route: Vikingur Reykjavik or draw (78%) at 1.48.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Draw at 3.90 – 54% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vikingur Reykjavik or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vikingur Reykjavik 1–1 FC Thun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vikingur Reykjavik24%fair 4.17 · @2.36
Draw54%fair 1.83 · @3.90
FC Thun22%fair 4.64 · @2.56
3.15Expected goals
1.60Vikingur Reykjavik xG
1.55FC Thun xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Vikingur Reykjavik 1.6 – 1.5 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Our pick is Vikingur Reykjavik or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
On our numbers Vikingur Reykjavik have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 54% and FC Thun 22%.
How many goals will there be in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is Vikingur Reykjavik 1–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Víkingsvollur Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.