Value bet: PAOK to win @ 1.68 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAOK to win ✗67% · @1.68
Double chancePAOK or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28
PAOK vs Anderlecht preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees PAOK take on Anderlecht on Thursday 6 August, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Toumba Stadium.
Form guide
PAOK's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Anderlecht's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Hammarby FF 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
PAOK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for PAOK and 0.8 for Anderlecht. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAOK 67%, draw 21%, Anderlecht 12%.
Safer route: PAOK or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: PAOK to win at 1.68 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: PAOK 2–0 Anderlecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAOK67%fair 1.49 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
Anderlecht12%fair 8.50 · @4.80
2.94Expected goals
2.14PAOK xG
0.80Anderlecht xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.1 – 0.8 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
67%
1.49
1.68 ▲
Double chance
PAOK or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.28
–
Form
PAOK – last 6
WWLWWW
30 Jul
vs Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ Dynamo Kyiv
3–2
W
11 Jul
vs Twente
2–3
L
7 Jul
vs AEK Larnaca
3–2
W
4 Jul
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
1 Jul
vs SK Beveren
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 6
WDWDLW
30 Jul
vs Hammarby FF
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Hammarby FF
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs NEC Nijmegen
3–2
W
4 Jul
vs Boulogne
0–0
D
24 May
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–5
L
21 May
vs St. Truiden
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Anderlecht.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win PAOK vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers PAOK have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Anderlecht 12%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–0 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Anderlecht?
PAOK vs Anderlecht (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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