Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPafos to win ✗61% · @1.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.79

Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos preview and prediction

The match

Pafos travel to Red Bull Arena in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 6 August (18:00 WAT) to face Red Bull Salzburg.

Form guide

Red Bull Salzburg's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat TSV Hartberg 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Pafos's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Red Bull Salzburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Red Bull Salzburg and 1.6 for Pafos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Red Bull Salzburg 20%, draw 19%, Pafos 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.07 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Red Bull Salzburg20%fair 4.90 · @4.90

Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.90

Pafos61%fair 1.64 · @1.70

2.41Expected goals

0.77Red Bull Salzburg xG

1.64Pafos xG

57%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%

0–212%

1–111%

1–29%

0–09%

1–07%

From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 0.8 – 1.6 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pafos to win ✗	61%	1.64	1.70
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	81%	1.23	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	72%	1.38	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	2.07 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	1.42
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗	36%	2.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	15%	6.79	–

Form

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

WWLLWW

1 Aug	vs TSV Hartberg	1–0	W
25 Jul	@ Oberwart	7–1	W
15 Jul	vs Başakşehir	1–2	L
15 Jul	vs Gamba Osaka	0–3	L
9 Jul	vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	4–0	W
4 Jul	vs Gornik Zabrze	2–1	W

2.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Pafos – last 6

WLLLDW

30 Jul	vs HNK Hajduk Split	2–0	W
23 Jul	@ HNK Hajduk Split	0–2	L
16 Jul	@ Slovan Bratislava	2–3	L
12 Jul	@ Jagiellonia	0–1	L
8 Jul	@ FK Jablonec	0–0	D
3 Jul	@ Cracovia Krakow	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pafos 61%.

How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes