KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Universitatea Craiova or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +85%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓54% · @3.40
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓12% · fair 8.09
KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova preview and prediction
The match
Universitatea Craiova travel to Savon Sanomat Areena in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 6 August (16:00 WAT) to face KuPS.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Gnistan 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Universitatea Craiova's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Petrolul Ploiesti 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for KuPS and 1.4 for Universitatea Craiova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 17%, draw 54%, Universitatea Craiova 28%.
Safer route: Universitatea Craiova or draw (83%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Draw at 3.40 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitatea Craiova or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KuPS 1–1 Universitatea Craiova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS17%fair 5.74 · @3.35
Draw54%fair 1.84 · @3.40
Universitatea Craiova28%fair 3.56 · @2.10
2.63Expected goals
1.20KuPS xG
1.43Universitatea Craiova xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.2 – 1.4 Universitatea Craiova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
54%
1.84
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Universitatea Craiova or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitatea Craiova / FT Universitatea Craiova✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
12%
8.09
–
Form
KuPS – last 6
WLWLWL
1 Aug
@ Gnistan
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Sabah FA
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs VPS
3–1
W
21 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ SJK
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Vardar Skopje
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universitatea Craiova – last 6
WDLLWW
1 Aug
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
4–0
W
29 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
1–5
L
22 Jul
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Uta Arad
4–0
W
15 Jul
vs ML Vitebsk
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and Universitatea Craiova.
What is the prediction for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our pick is Universitatea Craiova or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
On our numbers KuPS have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Universitatea Craiova 28%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–1 Universitatea Craiova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Savon Sanomat Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.