US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
US Monastirienne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.80
US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane preview and prediction
The match
US Monastirienne host US Ben Guerdane in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Form guide
US Monastirienne's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Stade Tunisien 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
US Ben Guerdane's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Olympique Béja 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for US Monastirienne and 0.5 for US Ben Guerdane. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Monastirienne 65%, draw 24%, US Ben Guerdane 11%.
Safer route: US Monastirienne or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was US Monastirienne to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: US Monastirienne 1–0 US Ben Guerdane. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Monastirienne65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
US Ben Guerdane11%fair 9.00 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.54US Monastirienne xG
0.46US Ben Guerdane xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: US Monastirienne 1.5 – 0.5 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Monastirienne to win✗
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
US Monastirienne or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.80
–
Form
US Monastirienne – last 6
WDWLWW
29 Aug
vs Stade Tunisien
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
0–0
D
14 May
vs AS Soliman
3–0
W
4 May
vs ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
US Ben Guerdane – last 6
WLDWWD
30 Aug
@ Olympique Béja
2–1
W
14 May
vs ES Tunis
0–1
L
8 May
@ Stade Tunisien
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ JS Kairouanaise
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs ES Metlaoui
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and US Ben Guerdane.
What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our pick is US Monastirienne to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and US Ben Guerdane 11%.
How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 1–0 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
