Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Stade Municipal Bou Ali-Lahouar

ES Hammam-Sousse

LLDLD
1–3
FT

Stade Tunisien

LDWDL

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien prediction & analysis

56%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: ES Hammam-Sousse to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultStade Tunisien to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.89

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien preview and prediction

The match

The Ligue 1 sees ES Hammam-Sousse take on Stade Tunisien on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade Municipal Bou Ali-Lahouar. ES Hammam-Sousse are 16th with 1 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Stade Tunisien sit 3rd on 13 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

ES Hammam-Sousse's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to ES Metlaoui 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Stade Tunisien's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to US Monastirienne 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Stade Tunisien arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.6 for ES Hammam-Sousse and 0.8 for Stade Tunisien. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 83% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–0 Stade Tunisien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

ES Hammam-Sousse29%fair 3.40 · @3.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.60
Stade Tunisien45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
1.40Expected goals
0.57ES Hammam-Sousse xG
0.83Stade Tunisien xG
44%Both score
17%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–025%
0–120%
1–014%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%

From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.6 – 0.8 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStade Tunisien to win ✓45%2.222.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.791.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%4.89–

Form

ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6

LLDLDD
6 Sep@ ES Metlaoui0–1L
29 Aug@ Club Africain0–1L
22 Augvs US Monastirienne0–0D
29 Mayvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer2–3L
11 May@ CS Hammam-Lif1–1D
1 Mayvs Sfax Railways2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stade Tunisien – last 6

LDWDLD
29 Aug@ US Monastirienne1–2L
22 Augvs CS Sfaxien1–1D
13 May@ AS Gabes1–0W
8 Mayvs US Ben Guerdane0–0D
29 Aprvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1–2L
8 Marvs ES Sahel1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and Stade Tunisien.

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub
FT AS Marsa1 ES Sahel0 127%3.40X24%2.75248%2.20 GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✗
FT US Monastirienne3 US Ben Guerdane3 165%1.70X24%3.00211%5.00 1US Monastirienne to win 65%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stade Tunisien 45%.

How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 0–0 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal Bou Ali-Lahouar.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.