Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGwangju FC to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceGwangju FC or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Ulsan Citizen take on Gwangju FC on Wednesday 19 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ulsan Complex Stadium.
Form guide
Ulsan Citizen's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gwangju FC's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Pohang Steelers 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ulsan Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Ulsan Citizen and 1.9 for Gwangju FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ulsan Citizen 13%, draw 22%, Gwangju FC 64%.
Safer route: Gwangju FC or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gwangju FC to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Gwangju FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulsan Citizen13%fair 7.54 · @3.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.45
Gwangju FC64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
2.68Expected goals
0.75Ulsan Citizen xG
1.92Gwangju FC xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ulsan Citizen 0.8 – 1.9 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gwangju FC to win✓
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Gwangju FC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Gwangju FC ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gwangju FC / FT Gwangju FC✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Ulsan Citizen – last 6
WLDWWW
29 Jul
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Chuncheon
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Seoul E-Land FC
2–2
D
10 Jul
vs Yeoju Sejong
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Chuncheon
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs Mokpo City
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gwangju FC – last 6
LDLWLD
15 Aug
vs Pohang Steelers
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Bucheon FC 1995
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Daejeon Citizen
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Cheonan City
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Jeju United FC
1–2
L
22 Jul
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulsan Citizen and Gwangju FC.
What is the prediction for Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Gwangju FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers Ulsan Citizen have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gwangju FC 64%.
How many goals will there be in Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Our predicted score is Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Complex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Ulsan Complex Stadium
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