Value bet: Busan I Park to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan I Park to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995 preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Busan I Park take on Bucheon FC 1995 on Wednesday 19 August, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Form guide
Busan I Park's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Hwaseong 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bucheon FC 1995's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bucheon FC 1995 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Busan I Park and 1.3 for Bucheon FC 1995. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan I Park 41%, draw 24%, Bucheon FC 1995 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Busan I Park to win at 2.85 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Busan I Park 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan I Park41%fair 2.41 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Bucheon FC 199534%fair 2.92 · @2.33
2.74Expected goals
1.45Busan I Park xG
1.29Bucheon FC 1995 xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Busan I Park 1.5 – 1.3 Bucheon FC 1995 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✗
41%
2.41
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Busan I Park – last 6
DLLWLL
15 Aug
vs Hwaseong
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ Yongin City
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs FC Seoul
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Suwon Bluewings
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Seongnam FC
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bucheon FC 1995 – last 6
WDWWDL
16 Aug
vs Jeonbuk Motors
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Gwangju FC
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Gangwon FC
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Paju Citizen
3–0
W
26 Jul
@ Incheon United
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs FC Anyang
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan I Park and Bucheon FC 1995.
What is the prediction for Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
On our numbers Busan I Park have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bucheon FC 1995 34%.
How many goals will there be in Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our predicted score is Busan I Park 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995 (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Busan Gudeok Stadium
Jeonbuk Motors2
Dangjin Citizen2
Pohang Steelers3
Jinju Citizen1
Ulsan Citizen0
Gwangju FC1
FC Anyang2
Jeju United FC1