Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPohang Steelers to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chancePohang Steelers or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Jinju Citizen travel to Pohang Steel Yard in the FA Cup on Wednesday 19 August (11:00 WAT) to face Pohang Steelers.
Form guide
Pohang Steelers's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Gwangju FC 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Jinju Citizen's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Busan Transportation 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jinju Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Pohang Steelers and 0.7 for Jinju Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jinju Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pohang Steelers68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
Jinju Citizen13%fair 7.65 · @9.20
2.67Expected goals
1.96Pohang Steelers xG
0.71Jinju Citizen xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pohang Steelers 2.0 – 0.7 Jinju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pohang Steelers to win✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
Pohang Steelers or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Half-time result
Pohang Steelers ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pohang Steelers / FT Pohang Steelers✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Pohang Steelers – last 6
WLLLLL
15 Aug
@ Gwangju FC
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ FC Seoul
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Jeju United FC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jinju Citizen – last 4
DWWD
29 Jul
@ Busan Transportation
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Pyeongtaek Citizen
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Ansan Greeners
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Sejong SA
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pohang Steelers and Jinju Citizen.
What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
On our numbers Pohang Steelers have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jinju Citizen 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
Our predicted score is Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jinju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pohang Steel Yard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Pohang Steel Yard
Jeonbuk Motors2
Dangjin Citizen2
Ulsan Citizen0
Gwangju FC1
FC Anyang2
Jeju United FC1
Busan I Park0
Bucheon FC 19950