Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Kataller Toyama or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama preview and prediction
The match
Ventforet Kofu host Kataller Toyama in the J2 League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium. Ventforet Kofu are 20th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Kataller Toyama sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ventforet Kofu's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Omiya Ardija 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kataller Toyama's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Urawa 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kataller Toyama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Ventforet Kofu and 2.0 for Kataller Toyama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Safer route: Kataller Toyama or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Kataller Toyama to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kataller Toyama or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Kataller Toyama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ventforet Kofu15%fair 6.80 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Kataller Toyama63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
2.81Expected goals
0.84Ventforet Kofu xG
1.97Kataller Toyama xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Ventforet Kofu 0.8 – 2.0 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kataller Toyama to win✓
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Kataller Toyama or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Kataller Toyama ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
Ventforet Kofu – last 6
LLLLWL
26 Sep
@ Omiya Ardija
1–5
L
23 Sep
@ Kashima
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Tokushima Vortis
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Osaka
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kataller Toyama – last 6
LDWDWW
29 Sep
vs Urawa
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Yokohama FC
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tochigi City
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Jubilo Iwata
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventforet Kofu and Kataller Toyama.
What is the prediction for Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
Our pick is Kataller Toyama or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
On our numbers Ventforet Kofu have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kataller Toyama 63%.
How many goals will there be in Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
Our predicted score is Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
