Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis preview and prediction
The match
Albirex Niigata host Tokushima Vortis in the J2 League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Tokushima Vortis sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Albirex Niigata's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Matsumoto Yamaga 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tokushima Vortis's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Tochigi City 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Albirex Niigata 1–0 Tokushima Vortis. Across their last 2 meetings Albirex Niigata have won 1, Tokushima Vortis 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Albirex Niigata and 1.2 for Tokushima Vortis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albirex Niigata39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Tokushima Vortis36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
2.44Expected goals
1.25Albirex Niigata xG
1.19Tokushima Vortis xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.2 – 1.2 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokushima Vortis 36%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
