Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Rincon to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.84
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava preview and prediction
The match
Costa Brava travel to Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 6 September (19:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Rincon. Deportivo Rincon are 22nd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Costa Brava sit 27th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Rincon's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Germinal de Rawson 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Costa Brava's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Juventud Unida Univ. 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Costa Brava 0–1 Deportivo Rincon. Across their last 2 meetings Deportivo Rincon have won 2, Costa Brava 0, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Deportivo Rincon and 0.5 for Costa Brava. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Rincon 60%, draw 24%, Costa Brava 15%.
Safer route: Deportivo Rincon or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Deportivo Rincon to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Rincon60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.90
Costa Brava15%fair 6.45 · @4.20
1.91Expected goals
1.39Deportivo Rincon xG
0.52Costa Brava xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.4 – 0.5 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Costa Brava 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
