Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlvarado to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.59
Alvarado vs Atenas preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Alvarado take on Atenas on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Alvarado are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atenas sit 18th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alvarado's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Kimberley Mar del Plata 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atenas's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Alvarado and 0.4 for Atenas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alvarado 65%, draw 24%, Atenas 11%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alvarado to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alvarado 1–0 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvarado65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Atenas11%fair 8.99 · @5.50
1.93Expected goals
1.50Alvarado xG
0.43Atenas xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.5 – 0.4 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Alvarado or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvarado / FT Alvarado✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.59
–
Form
Alvarado – last 6
WDDWWD
30 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventud Antoniana
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atenas – last 6
WDWWLD
30 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Cipolletti
2–2
D
13 Aug
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Villa Mitre
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Atenas.
Our pick is Alvarado to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Alvarado vs Atenas?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Atenas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Atenas?
Alvarado vs Atenas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
