Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✗60% · @1.93
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✗84% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sarmiento de La Banda take on 9 de Julio Rafaela on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda. Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while 9 de Julio Rafaela sit 14th on 25 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Defensores de Belgrano VR 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.7 for 9 de Julio Rafaela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento de La Banda 60%, draw 24%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 16%.
Safer route: Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (84%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Sarmiento de La Banda to win at 1.93 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sarmiento de La Banda or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento de La Banda60%fair 1.67 · @1.93
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
9 de Julio Rafaela16%fair 6.07 · @3.54
2.38Expected goals
1.65Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.739 de Julio Rafaela xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.7 – 0.7 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✗
60%
1.67
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
LWLDDD
30 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
3–0
W
16 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
1–3
L
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WLWDDL
30 Aug
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ San Martin Formosa
1–2
L
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Douglas Haig
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Douglas Haig
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Sarmiento de La Banda or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
