Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Unidos to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Concepción travel to Estadio Leoncio Benitez in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 6 September (21:00 WAT) to face Boca Unidos. Boca Unidos are 29th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Concepción sit 33rd on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boca Unidos's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Tucuman Central 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Boca Unidos and 0.9 for Gimnasia Concepción. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boca Unidos 46%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Concepción 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Boca Unidos 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boca Unidos46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Gimnasia Concepción31%fair 3.23 · @3.25
2.18Expected goals
1.23Boca Unidos xG
0.94Gimnasia Concepción xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Boca Unidos 1.2 – 0.9 Gimnasia Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Unidos to win✓
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Unidos / FT Boca Unidos✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Form
Boca Unidos – last 6
DWWDWL
29 Aug
@ Tucuman Central
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Atletico Escobar
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
DWWDWL
30 Aug
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Defensores de Vilelas
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ El Linqueño
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Tucuman Central
4–0
W
26 Jul
vs El Linqueño
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Unidos and Gimnasia Concepción.
What is the prediction for Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
On our numbers Boca Unidos have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia Concepción 31%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our predicted score is Boca Unidos 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leoncio Benitez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
