Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Maia Lidador to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaia Lidador to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceMaia Lidador or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca preview and prediction
The match
Maia Lidador host Ponte da Barca in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Maia Lidador are 8th with 11 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Ponte da Barca sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Maia Lidador and 0.9 for Ponte da Barca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Maia Lidador to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Maia Lidador 1–0 Ponte da Barca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maia Lidador62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Ponte da Barca17%fair 5.86 · @4.33
2.89Expected goals
1.97Maia Lidador xG
0.92Ponte da Barca xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Maia Lidador 2.0 – 0.9 Ponte da Barca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maia Lidador to win✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Maia Lidador or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Maia Lidador ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maia Lidador / FT Maia Lidador✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Maia Lidador – last 1
L
16 Aug
@ SC Braga B
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ponte da Barca – last 1
L
16 Aug
vs Vila Meã
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maia Lidador and Ponte da Barca.
What is the prediction for Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca?
Our pick is Maia Lidador to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca?
On our numbers Maia Lidador have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ponte da Barca 17%.
How many goals will there be in Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca?
Our predicted score is Maia Lidador 1–0 Ponte da Barca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca?
Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
