Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Rebordosa to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRebordosa to win ✗48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Chaves II vs Rebordosa preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A sees Chaves II take on Rebordosa on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Chaves II are 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Rebordosa sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chaves II's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Os Limianos 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rebordosa's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Tirsense 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Chaves II and 1.4 for Rebordosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chaves II 30%, draw 22%, Rebordosa 48%.
Value angle: Rebordosa to win at 2.45 – 48% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Chaves II 0–1 Rebordosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chaves II30%fair 3.37 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Rebordosa48%fair 2.09 · @2.45
2.38Expected goals
1.00Chaves II xG
1.38Rebordosa xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Chaves II 1.0 – 1.4 Rebordosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rebordosa to win✗
48%
2.09
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rebordosa / FT Rebordosa✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
Chaves II – last 6
LWLWLD
16 Aug
@ Os Limianos
1–3
L
22 Mar
@ Monção
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Celoricense
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vilaverdense
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rebordosa – last 6
LLWDLW
16 Aug
vs Tirsense
0–1
L
31 May
@ Vianense
0–2
L
22 May
vs Leça
2–1
W
17 May
vs Bragança
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Vila Meã
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Aparecida
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chaves II and Rebordosa.
What is the prediction for Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
On our numbers Chaves II have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rebordosa 48%.
How many goals will there be in Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
Our predicted score is Chaves II 0–1 Rebordosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
Chaves II vs Rebordosa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
