Mantova vs Alcione prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mantova 1.9 – 1.6 Alcione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mantova hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 34% for Alcione.
Mantova have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Alcione have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Mantova come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.9 for Mantova, 1.6 for Alcione). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mantova to win ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | 6.25 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time result | Mantova ahead at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mantova / FT Mantova ✓ | 28% | 3.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.38 | – |
Form
Mantova – last 6
| 8 May | @ Frosinone | 0–5 | L |
| 1 May | vs Monza | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Apr | vs Virtus Entella | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | vs Cesena | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | vs Juve Stabia | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Mar | @ Palermo | 1–2 | L |
Alcione – last 6
| 22 Jul | @ Torino | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | @ Virtus Verona | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | vs Lecco | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | @ Novara | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | vs Union Brescia | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Mar | vs Giana Erminio | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Alcione.
More Friendlies Clubs predictions
League hub
FC Augsburg2
Bournemouth5
Monza1
Aris Thessalonikis3
Marseille2
Nimes1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mantova vs Alcione?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mantova vs Alcione?
On our numbers Mantova have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alcione 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Alcione?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Mantova vs Alcione?
Mantova vs Alcione (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.