Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 2.90 – our chance 54% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +56%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBournemouth to win ✓54% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees FC Augsburg take on Bournemouth on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
FC Augsburg's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with FC Saarbrücken 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bournemouth's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat FC St. Pauli 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FC Augsburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.5 for FC Augsburg and 2.1 for Bournemouth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Augsburg 32%, draw 14%, Bournemouth 54%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Bournemouth to win at 2.90 – 54% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FC Augsburg 1–2 Bournemouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Augsburg32%fair 3.12 · @1.91
Draw14%fair 7.11 · @4.00
Bournemouth54%fair 1.86 · @2.90
3.59Expected goals
1.52FC Augsburg xG
2.06Bournemouth xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: FC Augsburg 1.5 – 2.1 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✓
54%
1.86
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.91
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✓
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
FC Augsburg – last 5
DDWWW
25 Jul
vs FC Saarbrücken
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs 1. FC Köln
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
WDDWDD
24 Jul
vs FC St. Pauli
4–1
W
24 May
@ Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
19 May
vs Manchester City
1–1
D
3 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Leeds
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Augsburg and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers FC Augsburg have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Bournemouth 54%.
How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is FC Augsburg 1–2 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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