Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: ASA to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoiatuba EC to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Goiatuba EC vs ASA preview and prediction
The match
ASA travel to face Goiatuba EC in the Serie D on Saturday 8 August (22:30 WAT).
Form guide
Goiatuba EC's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Ferroviario 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ASA's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Cianorte 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ASA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Goiatuba EC and 0.9 for ASA. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Goiatuba EC 43%, draw 24%, ASA 33%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.50.
Value angle: ASA to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Goiatuba EC 1–0 ASA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goiatuba EC43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
ASA33%fair 3.00 · @3.50
2.02Expected goals
1.10Goiatuba EC xG
0.92ASA xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Goiatuba EC 1.1 – 0.9 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goiatuba EC to win✗
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goiatuba EC / FT Goiatuba EC✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Goiatuba EC – last 6
WWWLWD
26 Jul
@ Ferroviario
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Ferroviario
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Manauara
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Manauara
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Brasiliense
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ Brasiliense
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ASA – last 6
WWWWWD
26 Jul
vs Cianorte
5–1
W
18 Jul
@ Cianorte
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Ivinhema
4–0
W
7 Jul
@ Ivinhema
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Sergipe
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Sergipe
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goiatuba EC and ASA.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Goiatuba EC vs ASA?
On our numbers Goiatuba EC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ASA 33%.
How many goals will there be in Goiatuba EC vs ASA?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goiatuba EC vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Goiatuba EC 1–0 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Goiatuba EC vs ASA?
Goiatuba EC vs ASA (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Nacional AM1
ABC2
Sao Jose1
Gama1
Uberlandia1
CSA0