The Serie D sees Sao Jose take on Gama on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Form guide
Sao Jose's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Treze 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gama's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat America-RN 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Sao Jose and 1.2 for Gama. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Jose 32%, draw 26%, Gama 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sao Jose 1–1 Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Jose32%fair 3.14 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.50
Gama42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
2.19Expected goals
0.99Sao Jose xG
1.20Gama xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.0 – 1.2 Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gama to win✗
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gama / FT Gama✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Sao Jose – last 6
LWDWDD
26 Jul
@ Treze
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Treze
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Portuguesa RJ
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Santa Catarina
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Santa Catarina
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gama – last 6
WLWLWW
26 Jul
vs America-RN
3–2
W
19 Jul
@ America-RN
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Porto Velho
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Porto Velho
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Mixto
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Mixto
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Gama.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Gama?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gama 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Gama?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Gama?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–1 Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Gama?
Sao Jose vs Gama (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
Nacional AM1
ABC2
Uberlandia1
CSA0
Goiatuba EC0
ASA0