Serie D · Brazil
Nacional AM vs ABC prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 2.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.1 – 1.0 ABC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nacional AM hold the edge on home soil with a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for ABC, and a draw (27%) is a real possibility.
Nacional AM have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. ABC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Nacional AM, 1.0 for ABC). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.20 is better than our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nacional AM to win ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.39 | – |
Form
Nacional AM – last 6
| 25 Jul | @ Iguatu | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Iguatu | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Jul | @ Capital Brasilia | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Jul | vs Capital Brasilia | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Araguaína | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Araguaína | 1–0 | W |
ABC – last 6
| 26 Jul | vs Luverdense | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Luverdense | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Jul | vs Águia de Marabá | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Águia de Marabá | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | vs Altos | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Altos | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and ABC.
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ASA0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nacional AM vs ABC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Nacional AM vs ABC?
On our numbers Nacional AM have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ABC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs ABC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Nacional AM vs ABC?
Nacional AM vs ABC (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.