Value bet: Virtus Entella to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVirtus Entella to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Padova vs Virtus Entella preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Padova take on Virtus Entella on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Euganeo. Padova are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Virtus Entella sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Padova's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Carrarese 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Virtus Entella's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Juve Stabia 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Padova and 1.2 for Virtus Entella. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Virtus Entella to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Padova 1–1 Virtus Entella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Padova36%fair 2.81 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.88
Virtus Entella39%fair 2.60 · @3.00
2.33Expected goals
1.13Padova xG
1.20Virtus Entella xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Padova 1.1 – 1.2 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Entella to win✓
39%
2.60
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Entella / FT Virtus Entella✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
Padova – last 6
LLWLDW
11 Oct
vs Carrarese
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Palermo
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cremonese
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Pisa
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Virtus Entella – last 6
DDWDLL
10 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Pisa
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Cesena
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sudtirol
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Padova and Virtus Entella.
What is the prediction for Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Padova vs Virtus Entella?
On our numbers Padova have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Virtus Entella 39%.
How many goals will there be in Padova vs Virtus Entella?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Our predicted score is Padova 1–1 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Padova vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
