Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultModena to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceModena or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.18
Carrarese vs Modena preview and prediction
The match
Carrarese host Modena in the Serie B on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio dei Marmi. Carrarese are 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Modena sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Carrarese's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Padova 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Modena's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Modena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Carrarese and 1.5 for Modena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carrarese 17%, draw 26%, Modena 57%.
Safer route: Modena or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Modena or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Carrarese 0–1 Modena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrarese17%fair 5.77 · @4.00
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Modena57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
2.25Expected goals
0.71Carrarese xG
1.54Modena xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 0.7 – 1.5 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Modena or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.18
–
Form
Carrarese – last 6
WLLLDL
11 Oct
@ Padova
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Benevento
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Catanzaro
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Empoli
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Ascoli
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Mantova
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
WWDLWW
11 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Avellino
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Cremonese
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Benevento
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Modena.
Our pick is Modena or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carrarese vs Modena?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Modena 57%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Modena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 0–1 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Modena?
Carrarese vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
