Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSudtirol to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Sudtirol vs Ascoli preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Sudtirol take on Ascoli on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Druso. Sudtirol are 12th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Ascoli sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sudtirol's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Wacker Innsbruck 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ascoli's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Avellino 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Sudtirol and 1.0 for Ascoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sudtirol 44%, draw 22%, Ascoli 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Sudtirol to win at 2.40 – 44% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sudtirol 1–1 Ascoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sudtirol44%fair 2.26 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Ascoli33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
2.30Expected goals
1.26Sudtirol xG
1.04Ascoli xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.3 – 1.0 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudtirol to win✗
44%
2.26
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sudtirol / FT Sudtirol✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Form
Sudtirol – last 6
LWLDWD
2 Oct
vs Wacker Innsbruck
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Arezzo
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ Genoa
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Modena
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Benevento
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 6
WLWDWL
19 Sep
vs Avellino
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Padova
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Benevento
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sudtirol and Ascoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Sudtirol have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ascoli 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
Sudtirol vs Ascoli (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Druso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
