Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Benevento to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenevento to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceBenevento or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Benevento vs Cesena preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Benevento take on Cesena on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Benevento are 6th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Cesena sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Benevento's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Frosinone 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cesena's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Juve Stabia 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Benevento and 0.8 for Cesena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benevento 56%, draw 25%, Cesena 19%.
Safer route: Benevento or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Benevento to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Benevento or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Benevento 1–0 Cesena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benevento56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Cesena19%fair 5.21 · @3.75
2.40Expected goals
1.59Benevento xG
0.81Cesena xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.6 – 0.8 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Benevento or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Benevento – last 6
LWWLDL
2 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 6
DDDWDL
18 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Cremonese
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sampdoria
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Cesena.
Our pick is Benevento or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Benevento vs Cesena?
On our numbers Benevento have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cesena 19%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–0 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Cesena?
Benevento vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
