Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCatanzaro to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Catanzaro vs Mantova preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Catanzaro take on Mantova on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Mantova sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Catanzaro's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Sampdoria 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mantova's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Pisa 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Mantova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Catanzaro and 1.4 for Mantova. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Catanzaro 1–1 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Catanzaro40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Mantova36%fair 2.79 · @2.90
2.90Expected goals
1.50Catanzaro xG
1.40Mantova xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.5 – 1.4 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catanzaro to win✗
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catanzaro / FT Catanzaro✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Catanzaro – last 6
LWLLLD
19 Sep
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sudtirol
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Pisa
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Sudtirol
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mantova – last 6
DWDLWW
20 Sep
vs Pisa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cesena
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Palermo
2–5
L
30 Aug
vs Empoli
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Carrarese
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Mantova.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Mantova?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mantova 36%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Mantova?
Catanzaro vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
