Modena travel to Stadio Marco Druso in the Serie B on Saturday 12 September (14:00 WAT) to face Sudtirol. Sudtirol are 12th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Modena sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sudtirol's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Catanzaro 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Modena's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Avellino 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Sudtirol and 1.0 for Modena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sudtirol 36%, draw 26%, Modena 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Sudtirol 1–1 Modena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sudtirol36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Modena38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
2.00Expected goals
0.98Sudtirol xG
1.02Modena xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.0 – 1.0 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
38%
2.62
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.26
–
Form
Sudtirol – last 6
WDWDWD
5 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Benevento
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Virtus Verona
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
LWWLDW
6 Sep
vs Avellino
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Cremonese
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Benevento
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Venezia
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Trento
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sudtirol and Modena.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Modena?
On our numbers Sudtirol have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Modena 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Modena?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sudtirol vs Modena?
Sudtirol vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marco Druso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
