Value bet: Cesena to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCremonese to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.48
Cesena vs Cremonese preview and prediction
The match
Cesena host Cremonese in the Serie B on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Cesena are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Cremonese sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cesena's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Mantova 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cremonese's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Padova 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Cesena and 1.3 for Cremonese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cesena 36%, draw 24%, Cremonese 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Cesena to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Cesena 1–1 Cremonese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Cremonese40%fair 2.53 · @2.20
2.50Expected goals
1.22Cesena xG
1.28Cremonese xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.2 – 1.3 Cremonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cremonese to win✗
40%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.48
–
Form
Cesena – last 6
DWDLDW
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sampdoria
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Forli
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cremonese – last 6
WWLLWD
6 Sep
vs Padova
3–1
W
1 Sep
@ Parma
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Modena
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Cremonese.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cesena vs Cremonese?
On our numbers Cesena have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cremonese 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Cremonese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Cremonese?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Cremonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Cremonese?
Cesena vs Cremonese (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
