Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultModena to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceModena or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.65
Modena vs Avellino preview and prediction
The match
Modena host Avellino in the Serie B on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Modena are 2nd with 23 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Avellino sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Modena's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Cremonese 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Avellino's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Vicenza Virtus 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Modena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Avellino 1–0 Modena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Modena and 1.0 for Avellino. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Modena 60%, draw 25%, Avellino 15%.
Safer route: Modena or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Modena 2–1 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Modena60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Avellino15%fair 6.77 · @4.75
3.00Expected goals
2.04Modena xG
0.96Avellino xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Modena 2.0 – 1.0 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Modena vs Avellino?
On our numbers Modena have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avellino 15%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Avellino?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Modena 2–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Avellino?
Modena vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
