Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMantova to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Cesena vs Mantova preview and prediction
The match
Mantova travel to Stadio Dino Manuzzi in the Serie B on Sunday 6 September (14:00 WAT) to face Cesena. Cesena are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Mantova sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cesena's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Virtus Entella 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mantova's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Palermo 2–5 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Mantova 3–0 Cesena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Cesena and 1.5 for Mantova. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cesena 37%, draw 25%, Mantova 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Mantova to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cesena 1–1 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena37%fair 2.73 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Mantova38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.48Cesena xG
1.52Mantova xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.5 – 1.5 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cesena vs Mantova?
On our numbers Cesena have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mantova 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Mantova?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Mantova?
Cesena vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
