Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Real San Joaquín to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal San Joaquín to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín preview and prediction
The match
Provincial Ovalle host Real San Joaquín in the Segunda División on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Diaguita. Provincial Ovalle are 14th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Real San Joaquín sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Provincial Ovalle's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to General Velásquez 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Real San Joaquín's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Santiago Morning 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Provincial Ovalle 1–6 Real San Joaquín.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.4 for Real San Joaquín. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Provincial Ovalle 37%, draw 23%, Real San Joaquín 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Real San Joaquín to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Real San Joaquín. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Provincial Ovalle37%fair 2.67 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Real San Joaquín40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
2.81Expected goals
1.38Provincial Ovalle xG
1.43Real San Joaquín xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Provincial Ovalle 1.4 – 1.4 Real San Joaquín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
On our numbers Provincial Ovalle have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real San Joaquín 40%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
Our predicted score is Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Real San Joaquín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
