Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Morning travel to face Lota Schwager in the Segunda División on Saturday 22 August (21:00 WAT). Lota Schwager are 10th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Santiago Morning sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lota Schwager's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Deportes Rengo 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santiago Morning's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Colina 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Lota Schwager and 1.0 for Santiago Morning. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lota Schwager 41%, draw 25%, Santiago Morning 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lota Schwager41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.88
Santiago Morning34%fair 2.98 · @2.90
2.11Expected goals
1.13Lota Schwager xG
0.98Santiago Morning xG
56%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lota Schwager 1.1 – 1.0 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santiago Morning 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
