Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal de SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca vs Concón National prediction & analysis
Municipal Salamanca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Municipal Salamanca to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Municipal Salamanca 1.3 – 0.5 Concón National expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Municipal Salamanca hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Concón National.
Municipal Salamanca have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Concón National have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Municipal Salamanca come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.3 for Municipal Salamanca, 0.5 for Concón National). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (22%), 0–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%).
In their last 1 meeting, Municipal Salamanca have won 1, Concón National have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Municipal Salamanca or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.19. For a bigger price, Municipal Salamanca to win at 1.91 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Municipal Salamanca to win ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Municipal Salamanca or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Municipal Salamanca / FT Municipal Salamanca ✗ | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 22% | 4.63 | – |
Form
Municipal Salamanca – last 6
| 11 Jul | @ Trasandino | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Jul | vs Concón National | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Real San Joaquín | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Colina | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | vs Santiago City | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | @ Provincial Ovalle | 1–1 | D |
Concón National – last 6
| 16 Aug | vs Trasandino | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Provincial Osorno | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jul | vs Santiago City | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Jul | @ Municipal Salamanca | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jun | vs Colina | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Jun | @ Real San Joaquín | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Jul 2026 | Municipal Salamanca v Concón National | 1–0 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Municipal Salamanca vs Concón National?
Our pick is Municipal Salamanca or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Municipal Salamanca vs Concón National?
On our numbers Municipal Salamanca have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concón National 16%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Salamanca vs Concón National?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Municipal Salamanca vs Concón National?
Municipal Salamanca vs Concón National (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.