Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapoli to win ✓69% · @1.55
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Napoli vs Osasuna preview and prediction
The match
Napoli host Osasuna in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Napoli's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Carrarese 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Osasuna's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Norwich 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Napoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Napoli and 0.7 for Osasuna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napoli 69%, draw 21%, Osasuna 10%.
Safer route: Napoli or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Napoli 2–0 Osasuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napoli69%fair 1.46 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.20
Osasuna10%fair 9.56 · @5.25
2.91Expected goals
2.16Napoli xG
0.75Osasuna xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Napoli 2.2 – 0.7 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
69%
1.46
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Napoli – last 6
WLWWLW
26 Jul
vs Carrarese
2–0
W
22 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–3
L
24 May
vs Udinese
1–0
W
17 May
@ Pisa
3–0
W
11 May
vs Bologna
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Cremonese
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 6
WWWLLL
1 Aug
@ Norwich
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Ipswich
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
17 May
vs Espanyol
1–2
L
12 May
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
8 May
@ Levante
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Osasuna.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Napoli vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Napoli have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Osasuna 10%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Napoli 2–0 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Osasuna?
Napoli vs Osasuna (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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