Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Juventus to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea to win ✗45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Chelsea vs Juventus preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea host Juventus in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Kai Tak Sports Park.
Form guide
Chelsea's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Tottenham 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Juventus's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Nice 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Chelsea and 1.5 for Juventus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea 45%, draw 19%, Juventus 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Juventus to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Chelsea 1–1 Juventus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea45%fair 2.22 · @2.02
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.90
Juventus36%fair 2.78 · @3.20
3.22Expected goals
1.72Chelsea xG
1.51Juventus xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chelsea 1.7 – 1.5 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✗
45%
2.22
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Chelsea – last 6
LWLWDL
1 Aug
vs Tottenham
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
6–4
W
24 May
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
19 May
vs Tottenham
2–1
W
9 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Juventus – last 6
WWDDLW
31 Jul
vs Nice
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Standard Liege
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ FC Basel 1893
0–0
D
24 May
@ Torino
2–2
D
17 May
vs Fiorentina
0–2
L
6 Apr
vs Genoa
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Juventus.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Chelsea vs Juventus?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Juventus 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Juventus?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Juventus?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Juventus?
Chelsea vs Juventus (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kai Tak Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.