Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter to win ✗42% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
AC Milan vs Inter preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees AC Milan take on Inter on Wednesday 5 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Optus Stadium.
Form guide
AC Milan's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Celtic 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Inter's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Manchester City 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Inter arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for AC Milan and 1.7 for Inter. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Milan 37%, draw 21%, Inter 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: AC Milan 1–1 Inter. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Milan37%fair 2.72 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.80
Inter42%fair 2.38 · @2.18
3.25Expected goals
1.57AC Milan xG
1.69Inter xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: AC Milan 1.6 – 1.7 Inter expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✗
42%
2.38
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
AC Milan – last 6
DLWLWL
25 Jul
@ Celtic
2–2
D
24 May
vs Cagliari
1–2
L
17 May
@ Genoa
2–1
W
3 May
@ Sassuolo
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Napoli
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Inter – last 6
DWDWWW
1 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
2–1
W
17 May
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
13 May
@ Lazio
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Como
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Cagliari
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Inter.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inter 42%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Inter?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Inter?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 1–1 Inter, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Inter?
AC Milan vs Inter (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Optus Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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