Carrarese travel to face Napoli in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 26 July (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Napoli's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Arezzo 1–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carrarese's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Virtus Entella 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.8 for Napoli and 1.0 for Carrarese. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napoli 73%, draw 18%, Carrarese 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Napoli to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Napoli 2–1 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napoli73%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.75
Carrarese10%fair 10.52 · @7.80
3.80Expected goals
2.78Napoli xG
1.02Carrarese xG
64%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Napoli 2.8 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
Napoli – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–3
L
24 May
vs Udinese
1–0
W
17 May
@ Pisa
3–0
W
11 May
vs Bologna
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Cremonese
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 6
LDDWWW
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1 May
vs Cesena
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Pescara
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Spezia
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Bari
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Carrarese.
Our pick is Napoli to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Napoli vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Napoli have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Carrarese 10%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Carrarese?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Napoli 2–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Carrarese?
Napoli vs Carrarese (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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