Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceFrosinone or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60% · fair 1.66
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.15
Frosinone vs Ascoli preview and prediction
The match
Frosinone host Ascoli in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Frosinone's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Frosinone U20 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ascoli's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Union Brescia 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Frosinone and 0.6 for Ascoli. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Frosinone 64%, draw 19%, Ascoli 17%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.30 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Frosinone to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Frosinone 1–0 Ascoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.60
Ascoli17%fair 5.72 · @6.00
2.03Expected goals
1.48Frosinone xG
0.55Ascoli xG
40%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.5 – 0.6 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
Frosinone or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.15
–
Form
Frosinone – last 6
WWWDWW
22 Jul
vs Frosinone U20
1–0
W
8 May
vs Mantova
5–0
W
1 May
@ Juve Stabia
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Palermo
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Padova
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Sudtirol
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 6
WDLWWD
7 Jun
vs Union Brescia
3–0
W
3 Jun
@ Union Brescia
1–1
D
27 May
@ Catania
1–2
L
24 May
vs Catania
4–0
W
20 May
vs Potenza
1–0
W
17 May
@ Potenza
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Ascoli.
Our pick is Frosinone to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Frosinone vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ascoli 17%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–0 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Ascoli?
Frosinone vs Ascoli (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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