Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Wakrah to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Wakrah or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58% · @2.00
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Caen vs Al Wakrah preview and prediction
The match
Al Wakrah travel to face Caen in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 25 July (16:00 WAT).
Form guide
Caen's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Laval 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Wakrah's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Stade Brestois 29 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Caen and 2.4 for Al Wakrah. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caen 14%, draw 23%, Al Wakrah 64%.
Safer route: Al Wakrah or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Wakrah to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caen 1–2 Al Wakrah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caen14%fair 7.30 · @3.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Al Wakrah64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
3.53Expected goals
1.12Caen xG
2.41Al Wakrah xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Caen 1.1 – 2.4 Al Wakrah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Wakrah to win✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Al Wakrah or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Al Wakrah ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Wakrah / FT Al Wakrah✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Caen – last 6
WLWWWW
18 Jul
vs Laval
4–2
W
15 Jul
vs Gobelins
3–4
L
9 Jul
@ Rennes
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
17 Apr
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Gobelins
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Al Wakrah – last 6
WWWDWL
22 Jul
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–0
W
1 May
@ Al-Rayyan SC
3–0
W
27 Apr
vs Al-Sailiya
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Al-Gharafa
3–3
D
3 Apr
@ Qatar SC
4–1
W
17 Mar
@ Al-Rayyan SC
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caen and Al Wakrah.
Our pick is Al Wakrah to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Caen vs Al Wakrah?
On our numbers Caen have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Wakrah 64%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Al Wakrah?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Al Wakrah?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–2 Al Wakrah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Al Wakrah?
Caen vs Al Wakrah (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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