Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLens to win ✗70% · @1.36
Double chanceLens or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Lens vs Charleroi preview and prediction
The match
Lens host Charleroi in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Lens's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Boulogne 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Charleroi's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Feyenoord 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Lens and 0.9 for Charleroi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 70%, draw 22%, Charleroi 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lens 2–0 Charleroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.33
Charleroi8%fair 12.51 · @7.00
3.49Expected goals
2.58Lens xG
0.91Charleroi xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Lens 2.6 – 0.9 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Lens or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.35
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
Lens – last 6
WWWLWD
18 Jul
vs Boulogne
4–1
W
22 May
vs Nice
3–1
W
17 May
@ Lyon
4–0
W
13 May
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 May
vs Nantes
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
LDDWDW
17 Jul
@ Feyenoord
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Reims
2–2
D
19 May
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
10 May
@ Antwerp
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Genk
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Antwerp
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Charleroi.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lens vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Lens have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charleroi 8%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Charleroi?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–0 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Charleroi?
Lens vs Charleroi (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Matsumoto Yamaga3
Ventforet Kofu0
Espanyol1
Sabadell1
Laval1
Concarneau2
Luton2
Al Kholood0
Kortrijk4
Knokke1
Sudtirol0
1. FC Kaiserslautern0
Santa Clara3
Arouca0
RB Leipzig1
FC Ingolstadt 040