Value bet: Oliveirense to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense preview and prediction
The match
Lusitano Évora 1911 host Oliveirense in the Liga 3 on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo Estrela. Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Oliveirense sit 3rd on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lusitano Évora 1911's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to União Santarém 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Oliveirense's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with SC Covilha 0–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Oliveirense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 1.0 for Oliveirense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Oliveirense to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Oliveirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitano Évora 191144%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Oliveirense34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.18Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.99Oliveirense xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.2 – 1.0 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
LDLLWD
9 Oct
@ União Santarém
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs SC Covilha
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oliveirense – last 6
DLWLWW
10 Oct
@ SC Covilha
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Mafra
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Oliveirense.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oliveirense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Estrela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
