Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMafra to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Caldas vs Mafra preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Caldas take on Mafra on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo da Mata. Caldas are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Mafra sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caldas's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético CP 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mafra's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Santa Clara 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Caldas and 1.5 for Mafra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caldas 32%, draw 23%, Mafra 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caldas 1–1 Mafra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldas32%fair 3.12 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Mafra45%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.75Expected goals
1.24Caldas xG
1.51Mafra xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.2 – 1.5 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
45%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Caldas – last 6
LWWLLD
11 Oct
@ Atlético CP
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Vitória de Sernache
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sintrense
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Louletano
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mafra – last 6
DDDLWD
18 Oct
vs Santa Clara
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tirsense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Oliveirense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs SC Covilha
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Caldas vs Mafra?
On our numbers Caldas have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mafra 45%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Mafra?
Caldas vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
