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Liga 3 · Portugal
1–0
FT

Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLouletano to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.94

Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano preview and prediction

The match

The Liga 3 sees Vitória de Sernache take on Louletano on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Vitória de Sernache are 8th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Louletano sit 6th on 11 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Vitória de Sernache's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Varzim 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Louletano's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with FC Serpa 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Louletano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Louletano.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Vitória de Sernache and 1.5 for Louletano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Louletano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vitória de Sernache34%fair 2.96 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Louletano45%fair 2.21 · @2.30
2.68Expected goals
1.21Vitória de Sernache xG
1.46Louletano xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.2 – 1.5 Louletano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouletano to win ✗45%2.212.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louletano / FT Louletano ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.94–

Form

Vitória de Sernache – last 6

WLLWLD
19 Sepvs Varzim2–1W
13 Sep@ Caldas0–2L
6 Sepvs CF Os Belenenses1–3L
30 Aug@ Nazarenos3–0W
23 Aug@ Oliveirense2–3L
16 Augvs SC Covilha0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Louletano – last 6

DLWWWL
20 Sep@ FC Serpa1–1D
12 Sepvs União Santarém1–2L
6 Sepvs Lusitano Évora 19111–0W
30 Aug@ Castrense1–0W
23 Aug@ Caldas4–2W
15 Augvs CF Os Belenenses1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Vitória de Sernache v Louletano1–1
Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Louletano 45%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

Our predicted score is Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Louletano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.