Value bet: SC Covilha to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOliveirense to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.94
SC Covilha vs Oliveirense preview and prediction
The match
SC Covilha host Oliveirense in the Liga 3 on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). SC Covilha are 9th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Oliveirense sit 3rd on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
SC Covilha's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Lusitano Évora 1911 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oliveirense's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Penafiel 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Oliveirense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for SC Covilha and 1.2 for Oliveirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: SC Covilha to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: SC Covilha 1–1 Oliveirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Covilha36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Oliveirense39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
2.40Expected goals
1.17SC Covilha xG
1.23Oliveirense xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: SC Covilha 1.2 – 1.2 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oliveirense to win✗
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oliveirense / FT Oliveirense✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
SC Covilha – last 6
DLDLDW
12 Sep
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Mafra
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs União Santarém
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oliveirense – last 6
LWLWWD
19 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Mafra
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Covilha and Oliveirense.
What is the prediction for SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers SC Covilha have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oliveirense 39%.
How many goals will there be in SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is SC Covilha 1–1 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
SC Covilha vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
