Value bet: São João Ver to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPacos Ferreira to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver preview and prediction
The match
Pacos Ferreira host São João Ver in the Liga 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Pacos Ferreira are 8th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while São João Ver sit 9th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Vianense 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
São João Ver's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with AD Marco 09 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.2 for São João Ver. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pacos Ferreira 41%, draw 24%, São João Ver 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: São João Ver to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 1–1 São João Ver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pacos Ferreira41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
São João Ver35%fair 2.85 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.31Pacos Ferreira xG
1.19São João Ver xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.3 – 1.2 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✗
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
DDLLLD
5 Sep
@ Vianense
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Varzim
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 6
DDLLDD
6 Sep
vs AD Marco 09
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Florgrade
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Trofense
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Fafe
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Leça
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Tondela
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and São João Ver.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São João Ver 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–1 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
