Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldas to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.56
Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache preview and prediction
The match
Vitória de Sernache travel to Campo da Mata in the Liga 3 on Sunday 13 September (17:00 WAT) to face Caldas. Caldas are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Vitória de Sernache sit 8th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Caldas's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat União Santarém 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vitória de Sernache's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to CF Os Belenenses 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Caldas and 1.1 for Vitória de Sernache. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caldas 50%, draw 23%, Vitória de Sernache 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caldas 1–1 Vitória de Sernache. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldas50%fair 2.00 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Vitória de Sernache26%fair 3.78 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.64Caldas xG
1.11Vitória de Sernache xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.6 – 1.1 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldas to win✓
50%
2.00
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldas / FT Caldas✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.56
–
Form
Caldas – last 6
WLLDLD
4 Sep
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sintrense
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Louletano
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Academica
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
LWLDLD
6 Sep
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Nazarenos
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Oliveirense
2–3
L
16 Aug
vs SC Covilha
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Mafra
0–5
L
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Caldas have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vitória de Sernache 26%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
