Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
CF Os Belenenses to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Vitória de Sernache take on CF Os Belenenses on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Vitória de Sernache are 8th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while CF Os Belenenses sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vitória de Sernache's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Nazarenos 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
CF Os Belenenses's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Lusitano Évora 1911 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
CF Os Belenenses arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Vitória de Sernache and 2.3 for CF Os Belenenses. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitória de Sernache 13%, draw 24%, CF Os Belenenses 63%.
Safer route: CF Os Belenenses or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CF Os Belenenses to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Vitória de Sernache 1–2 CF Os Belenenses. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitória de Sernache13%fair 7.67 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
CF Os Belenenses63%fair 1.60 · @1.62
3.33Expected goals
1.04Vitória de Sernache xG
2.29CF Os Belenenses xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.0 – 2.3 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Double chance
CF Os Belenenses or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
CF Os Belenenses ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
WLDLDD
30 Aug
@ Nazarenos
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Oliveirense
2–3
L
16 Aug
vs SC Covilha
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Mafra
0–5
L
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
31 May
vs Louletano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
WWWWDL
30 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs União Santarém
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ Louletano
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Caldas
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Estoril
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Benfica
1–5
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória de Sernache and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CF Os Belenenses 63%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is Vitória de Sernache 1–2 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
