Value bet: AD Marco 09 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✗44% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.78
São João Ver vs AD Marco 09 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees São João Ver take on AD Marco 09 on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). São João Ver are 9th with 9 points from 9 games (in the top half), while AD Marco 09 sit 3rd on 14 points (in the top four).
Form guide
São João Ver's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Florgrade 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
AD Marco 09's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Régua 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AD Marco 09 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished AD Marco 09 2–1 São João Ver.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for São João Ver and 1.4 for AD Marco 09. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: São João Ver 31%, draw 25%, AD Marco 09 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: AD Marco 09 to win at 2.75 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: São João Ver 1–1 AD Marco 09. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São João Ver31%fair 3.23 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
AD Marco 0944%fair 2.27 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.11São João Ver xG
1.39AD Marco 09 xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: São João Ver 1.1 – 1.4 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
On our numbers São João Ver have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AD Marco 09 44%.
How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
Our predicted score is São João Ver 1–1 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
São João Ver vs AD Marco 09 (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
